Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.422198 0.484894 0.550532 0.624094 0.703961 0.787782 0.882134
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.330108 0.416265 0.511816 0.624530 0.752751 0.893036 1.057077
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.275935 0.379335 0.500097 0.648912 0.824781 1.023583 1.262858
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.220475 0.331858 0.468991 0.645325 0.861286 1.112726 1.423142
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.191739 0.312632 0.468361 0.675733 0.936999 1.248197 1.639806
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.158400 0.281920 0.448894 0.679346 0.977966 1.341590 1.807552
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.131504 0.255696 0.431712 0.682981 1.017050 1.431934 1.972110
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.113286 0.239194 0.425455 0.699300 1.071422 1.541204 2.160883
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.099491 0.227241 0.423899 0.720783 1.132012 1.658554 2.360848
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.087542 0.216283 0.422297 0.741171 1.190742 1.773826 2.559326
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.072442 0.197082 0.405960 0.738717 1.217317 1.846973 2.704540
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.062785 0.186109 0.401200 0.752205 1.265361 1.948288 2.886552
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050521 0.167812 0.383130 0.745164 1.285033 2.013459 3.024604
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038144 0.146044 0.356640 0.723088 1.281789 2.047108 3.121434
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032405 0.137915 0.353061 0.736360 1.329528 2.150237 3.310802
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024781 0.122705 0.334728 0.724427 1.339238 2.200833 3.430570
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022234 0.120486 0.340644 0.752344 1.408706 2.334864 3.663298
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017706 0.110866 0.330952 0.753284 1.437062 2.411598 3.819449
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.014035 0.102368 0.322426 0.755418 1.466809 2.490269 3.978681
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011855 0.098127 0.322256 0.771803 1.518607 2.600570 4.181854
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.010306 0.095625 0.325491 0.794093 1.579771 2.724681 4.404782
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008896 0.093051 0.328245 0.815443 1.639672 2.847519 4.626930
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006650 0.085214 0.318070 0.812591 1.660820 2.914491 4.772371